Drill Poker

MTT: ICM & Bubble

Tournament decisions on the bubble, in the money and at the final table: push, call or fold when busting costs more than the chips you could win.

Streak
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Best: 0
Score
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Accuracy
—

Unlocks after 10 hands — 0 played

In the middle of a tournament a chip is worth a chip, and "shove or not" is settled by a table. On the bubble, in the money and at the final table that stops working: busting one step short of the money costs your entire payout, and doubling your stack brings far less than double the money. The gap between chips and money is called ICM, and it is why strong tournament players play these stages differently from the rest.

This trainer teaches you to see the gap — in concrete hands, not in theory.

How the training works

The trainer deals a spot: the tournament stage (bubble, in the money or final table), the payout structure, every stack at the table and your hand. There are two spot types — an open shove when nobody has entered before you, and a call against someone else's all-in. You answer: push, call or fold.

After you answer, the trainer returns two verdicts. Chip EV — what would be correct if the stack were counted in chips. With ICM — what is actually correct, adjusted for the payout structure. The 13×13 grid switches between the two modes, and the hands that are "yes by chips, fold with ICM" get their own legend: those are exactly the hands that bust players on the bubble.

If the verdicts match, the spot is labelled "Matches chip EV" — ICM doesn't matter here and the ordinary chart decides. If they diverge — "ICM pressure": look at how much the range shrank and why.

What exactly you train

Calling under pressure. The main ICM lesson: it barely changes the shove but sharply tightens the call. The caller always risks his stack, and proximity to the money makes that risk more expensive. The trainer forces you to fold hands that were obvious calls mid-tournament — and shows what the "always call with an ace" habit costs in money.

Reading stacks. The same 10 BB spot plays differently depending on who is shoving: a big stack that can't be hurt, or a medium one for which busting is a catastrophe. The trainer rearranges the stacks so you look beyond your own cards.

Stage as a variable. The bubble, the first paid places and the final table are three different pressure regimes. On the bubble it peaks, at the start of the money it almost vanishes, and at the final table it returns with every pay jump.

Example: pushing and calling on the bubble

Action

My stack

Opponent stack

AA
AKs
AQs
AJs
ATs
A9s
A8s
A7s
A6s
A5s
A4s
A3s
A2s
AKo
KK
KQs
KJs
KTs
K9s
K8s
K7s
K6s
K5s
K4s
K3s
K2s
AQo
KQo
QQ
QJs
QTs
Q9s
Q8s
Q7s
Q6s
Q5s
Q4s
Q3s
Q2s
AJo
KJo
QJo
JJ
JTs
J9s
J8s
J7s
J6s
J5s
J4s
J3s
J2s
ATo
KTo
QTo
JTo
TT
T9s
T8s
T7s
T6s
T5s
T4s
T3s
T2s
A9o
K9o
Q9o
J9o
T9o
99
98s
97s
96s
95s
94s
93s
92s
A8o
K8o
Q8o
J8o
T8o
98o
88
87s
86s
85s
84s
83s
82s
A7o
K7o
Q7o
J7o
T7o
97o
87o
77
76s
75s
74s
73s
72s
A6o
K6o
Q6o
J6o
T6o
96o
86o
76o
66
65s
64s
63s
62s
A5o
K5o
Q5o
J5o
T5o
95o
85o
75o
65o
55
54s
53s
52s
A4o
K4o
Q4o
J4o
T4o
94o
84o
74o
64o
54o
44
43s
42s
A3o
K3o
Q3o
J3o
T3o
93o
83o
73o
63o
53o
43o
33
32s
A2o
K2o
Q2o
J2o
T2o
92o
82o
72o
62o
52o
42o
32o
22
PushFold
Pushing and calling at 10 BB on the bubble. Switch your stack and your opponent's — the range boundary shifts visibly.

Watch the medium stack against the big one: it's the only direction where the shove is tighter than the base chart, and the call is far tighter than chip EV — small pairs and weak aces turn into folds. The big stack in the same spot does the opposite, shoving into medium stacks wider than Nash allows — they have no answer.

What the trainer doesn't do

There are no raise and re-shove situations here, no postflop, no satellites with equal payouts (where ICM bites even harder — that's a separate topic). The calculations are approximate: exact ICM for a specific stack configuration takes dedicated software; the trainer teaches the principles and the standard spots.

Questions & answers

What is ICM and why does it matter?

ICM is a model that converts tournament chips into money. It shows that doubling your stack does not double your expected payout, while busting costs more than the chips you lose. That's why correct decisions on the bubble and at the final table differ from mid-tournament decisions.

Why does the trainer show two verdicts?

"Chip EV" is the decision if a chip were worth a chip. "With ICM" is the decision adjusted for the payout structure. When they match, ICM doesn't matter in that spot. When they diverge, you see exactly what ICM cut away — and those are the most instructive hands.

How accurate are the calculations?

The spots and ranges are a teaching approximation, not an exact ICM calculation for every stack configuration. For training that's enough: the mistakes the trainer catches are worth tens of percent of expectation, not fractions.

How is this different from the push/fold trainer?

In push/fold the decision depends only on your hand, position and stack. Here the tournament stage, the payout structure and every stack at the table join in. The same 10 BB hand can be a shove in one spot and a fold in another.

Put it into practice

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